First , the NWS synopsis:
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City Utah
246 am MDT Wednesday Sep 7 2011
Synopsis....drier conditions are expected today before moisture
increases again Thursday into early next week.
Dry. NNE winds. Stable. Tricky day to fly anywhere in the Wasatch.
Current Surface Winds
East canyon outflow wind down Provo canyon and SLC canyons. Winds at 10,000 ridge lines are NW to NE in single digits. Surface light and variable.
See plot below for winds.
Winds 12 PM
Height | Direction | Speed | Notes as the day evolves |
Surface | |||
9000 ft | |||
12000 ft | |||
15000 ft | |||
18000 ft |
Lift Potential & Clouds
Sunny, some clouds over peaks. Top of lift 12-13k at best near launch. Maybe 14k deeper east. A 10% chance of TS according to NWS, so expect to see a cell or two around favorable locations such as Price, Timp, Tooele. NNE winds aloft with moisture is not something the locals understand in terms of potential wx. We may see some interesting development building from behind (to the east) ridges.
Over Development & Precip
Uinta's only and high terrain in E UT.
XC Skies 3 day Forecast for Provo Mountain area.
These are GFS plots which typically show conditions to be better than experienced in post frontal conditions along the Wasatch, so don't get too excited yet :)
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